How Disciplined Investors Stay on Track

July 17, 2026

The first half of 2026 gave investors every reason to react. The Middle East conflict pushed oil past US$100 a barrel before a tentative ceasefire sent it tumbling back down.

Trade tensions weighed on Canadian growth. Markets recovered anyway, and the investors who fared best were mostly the ones who did the least reacting.


None of that means ignoring your portfolio. It means reviewing it on your schedule, not the market’s. Let me walk you through what a disciplined mid-year review covers and why discipline, not prediction, is what protects long-term wealth.


Learn more about me and my services here.


What a mid-year portfolio review includes

A proper mid-year review is not a performance scorecard. It is a systems check. Start with drift: six months of uneven returns can pull your asset mix away from its target allocation, and when an asset class moves beyond a set threshold, that is a rebalancing trigger, not a judgment call. Check how much 2026 RRSP and TFSA room you have used, and schedule the remainder rather than leaving it to a year-end scramble. Look at cash flow. Have income, expenses or business draws changed since January in a way that should change your savings rate? Then revisit risk. If the first half’s volatility kept you up at night, that is information about your risk tolerance worth acting on calmly.

Sequence-of-returns risk: why the final decade matters most

For investors within roughly 10 years of retirement, the order of returns matters almost as much as the average. A sharp down year just before or just after you begin drawing income forces you to sell more units at depressed prices to fund the same withdrawal, and that capital never gets the chance to recover. Two retirees with identical average returns can see very different outcomes for this reason alone. Exiting the market is no fix; that trades one risk for another. I recommend you position for it instead. Holding roughly one to three years of planned withdrawals in cash and short-term fixed income may reduce the likelihood of having to sell investments during a downturn, and regular rebalancing keeps equity exposure from quietly creeping beyond plan in strong markets.
 

The pitfalls professionals often overlook

Regulated professionals and senior executives face constraints most investors never encounter. Sit on a board, work in capital markets or hold a senior role at a public company, and restricted issuer lists and blackout windows can limit when you are permitted to trade. That complicates rebalancing and tax planning alike. Canada’s insider reporting rules under National Instrument 55-104 are strict, and a diversification plan needs to work within them, not around them.


Concentration is the quieter risk. Equity compensation and employer shares can grow into an outsized share of net worth, tying your portfolio and your paycheque to the same company. Partnership interests and professional corporation buyout provisions add illiquidity on top. None of these is a problem on its own. Unmanaged, together they can be.


Discipline over prediction

My investment philosophy is built on fundamentals: valuation-driven decisions, diversification across asset classes and geographies, and regular rebalancing without market timing. The evidence keeps accumulating. Morningstar’s 2025 Mind the Gap study found that over the 10 years ending in 2024, the average dollar invested in U.S. funds earned 1.2 percentage points less per year than the funds themselves returned, a gap driven largely by poorly timed buying and selling. Research from one of Canada’s largest asset managers makes a related point: market timing demands two correct decisions, when to get out and when to get back in, and missing even a few of the market’s strongest days can meaningfully reduce long-term results. Past results are no guarantee of what comes next, but the behavioural lesson holds. The plan you can stick with beats the prediction you cannot.


A review that connects to the rest of your plan

A mid-year review should not stop at the portfolio. As a dual-licensed Investment Advisor and insurance-licensed advisor, I use it to confirm that insurance coverage still matches what you are protecting, that RRSP room is being used deliberately, and to flag the fourth-quarter tax conversations that belong with your accountant. It is also when the know-your-client information on file gets confirmed, something financial regulators expect to stay current. FP Canada’s research consistently connects a documented, regularly reviewed plan with stronger financial confidence and better investor behaviour. The mid-year review is where that plan earns its keep.

 

Book your complimentary mid-year portfolio review

If the first half of 2026 raised questions your plan has not answered, I invite you to book a complimentary 30-minute mid-year review today.

 

Download The Retirement Blueprint Series, Vol. 1: Building Wealth

Download The Retirement Blueprint, Vol. 1: Building Wealth for a comprehensive guide to building income that lasts a lifetime:

 

If you are a client, thank you for taking the time to read this and I look forward to our next conversation. Please feel free to share this with your friends and family who may be in need of another viewpoint.

Sources

  1. Ontario Securities Commission. "National Instrument 55-104 Insider Reporting Requirements and Exemptions." OSC, 2026. https://www.osc.ca/en/securities-law/instruments-rules-policies/5/55-104
  2. Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization. "Know Your Client and Suitability Requirements." CIRO, 2026. https://www.ciro.ca
  3. Morningstar. "The More Investors Traded, the Less Their Average Dollar Made." Morningstar, 2025. https://www.morningstar.com/financial-advisors/volatility-bedevils-fund-investors
  4. RBC Global Asset Management. "The Cost of Trying to Time the Market." RBC GAM, 2023. https://www.rbcgam.com/en/ca/article/the-cost-of-trying-to-time-the-market/detail
  5. The Associated Press. "Global Stocks Soar and Oil Prices Drop as U.S., Iran Reach Tentative Deal to End War." CBC News, 2026. https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/stock-oil-markets-june-15-9.7235409
  6. FP Canada. "Financial Planning Research." FP Canada, 2026. https://www.fpcanada.ca/financial-planning-research
  7. McBride, Steve. The Retirement Blueprint: Building Income That Lasts a Lifetime. McBride Wealth Management / Ventum Financial Corp., 2025.


Ventum Financial Corp. www.ventumfinancial.com

Vancouver Office

2500 - 733 Seymour Street

Vancouver, BC V6B 0S6

Ph: 604-664-2900 | Fax: 604-664-2666

 

For a complete list of branch offices and contact information, please visit our website.

 

Participants of all Canadian Marketplaces. Members: Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization, Canadian Investor Protection Fund and AdvantageBC International Business Centre - Vancouver. Estimates and projections contained herein are our own and are based on assumptions which. we believe to be reasonable. Information presented herein, while obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, is not guaranteed either as to accuracy or completeness, nor in providing it does Ventum Financial Corp. assume any responsibility or liability. This information is given as of the date appearing on this report, and Ventum Financial Corp. assumes no obligation to update the information or advise on further developments relating to securities. Ventum Financial Corp. and its affiliates, as well as their respective partners, directors, shareholders, and employees may have a position in the securities mentioned herein and may make purchases and/or sales from time to time. Ventum Financial Corp. may act, or may have acted in the past, as a financial advisor, fiscal agent or underwriter for certain of the companies mentioned herein and may receive, or may have received, a remuneration for their services from those companies. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, securities and is intended for distribution only in those jurisdictions where Ventum Financial Corp. is registered as an advisor or a dealer in securities. Any distribution or dissemination of this report in any other jurisdiction is strictly prohibited.

 

For further disclosure information, reader is referred to the disclosure section of our website.

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